Forecasting the Syrian scene in 2023

Forecasting the Syrian scene in 2023

Reviewing the local and international developments that occurred in Syria in 2022 makes it seems like that 2023 does not bring major changes in the scene, with the exception of some repercussions resulting from the tense relations between international actors. 

As it is expected that there will be an escalation against Iran due to the failure to reach a nuclear agreement. Furthermore, Western forces might exercise more political pressure on Russia through Syria, by working to create mechanisms to deal with the continued obstruction of the course of constitutional reform . 

Moreover, it is unlikely that regional actors’ efforts to normalize relations with the regime will develop to an advanced political and economic level, in light of the continuation and expected tightening of economic sanctions against the regime. However, some neighboring countries may resort to maintaining advanced channels of communication with the regime in order to address some limited security and economic problems. 

In light of the political stalemate and the continuation of economic sanctions, it is difficult to be optimistic about an economic improvement in the various areas of control, especially since international disputes may hinder significant progress in early recovery projects. 

This report helps experts, researchers, and those interested in knowing the future of the Syrian scene, the state of local actors in it, and the positions and policies of international actors towards a scene as such in 2023. 

To read the article in full, you can download the electronic version (click here)

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Why did Emirati FM again fly to Damascus?
In focus

An Emirati delegation headed by the United Arab Emirates foreign minister, Abdullah bin Zayed Al Al Nahyan on January 4, 2023 made a visit to the Syrian capital, Damascus, and met the head of the Syrian regime, Bashar al -Assad. This visit is the second to Syria after the return of diplomatic relations between the two parties late 2018.

Syria during 2022
Analytical Report

An analytical report released by the Jusoor Center for Studies monitors the various stages that the Syrian issue went through during 2022, politically, militarily and economically. The report addresses the political process, the movements of the Astana track, the UN Security Council meetings on Syria, the policies of international actors, and others.